Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 8.900124 10.173875 11.577039 13.239349 15.157456 17.304242 19.893319
2025-09-21 7.119226 8.759033 10.710427 13.210960 16.340580 20.141717 25.129259
2025-09-28 6.011619 7.790480 10.026413 13.056923 17.078604 22.261994 29.496813
2025-10-05 5.449856 7.372362 9.901061 13.492770 18.499507 25.284516 35.266387
2025-10-12 4.985645 6.998614 9.752181 13.825757 19.753384 28.148004 41.085276
2025-10-19 4.654295 6.754042 9.729410 14.296053 21.205383 31.391306 47.772802
2025-10-26 4.149785 6.198405 9.191958 13.936915 21.366398 32.714507 51.668583
2025-11-02 3.768892 5.781982 8.808672 13.752172 21.744413 34.364879 56.208757
2025-11-09 3.450355 5.426396 8.477246 13.601732 22.139014 36.048481 60.947630
2025-11-16 3.166861 5.097143 8.152062 13.419772 22.446698 37.594094 65.587305
2025-11-23 2.901976 4.772693 7.802609 13.157212 22.579499 38.836056 69.799024
2025-11-30 2.812639 4.729047 7.907417 13.668123 24.085888 42.584358 78.938322
2025-12-07 2.662211 4.571629 7.811099 13.826811 24.995980 45.387578 86.698303
2025-12-14 2.494535 4.369736 7.620011 13.796025 25.552928 47.592850 93.557844
2025-12-21 2.323599 4.147132 7.372224 13.634742 25.841676 49.307168 99.617543
2025-12-28 2.257823 4.108726 7.451556 14.091126 27.356981 53.538190 111.328065
2026-01-04 2.181523 4.043911 7.475358 14.439832 28.688507 57.529873 123.003160
2026-01-11 2.128571 4.018259 7.569330 14.932370 30.354787 62.367584 137.104881
2026-01-18 1.974421 3.785577 7.246847 14.556243 30.178202 63.314791 142.568486
2026-01-25 1.854314 3.610485 7.023259 14.362771 30.367956 65.060482 150.072292
2026-02-01 1.747802 3.454467 6.825472 14.205230 30.618054 66.957365 158.153336
2026-02-08 1.646174 3.300844 6.620809 14.014686 30.775031 68.655468 165.949215
2026-02-15 1.544006 3.138762 6.386702 13.739753 30.714077 69.843010 172.610277